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The Journey · Step 2 of 5 · See it

We feed this country, build it, and heal it. The work that runs it is kept just out of reach.

Sixty years of federal data, in one place. Press play on each chart. This is not a feeling or an anecdote. It is the measured distance between who we are and the work this country lets us do, in every state, in every field.

Pay and Representation · 1980 → 2045

We feed this country, build it, and heal it. Now we take our place in the work that runs it.

Sixty years of receipts. Press play. The green lines are the work we already carry, every job under $100,000 a year, where we ride above our share of the employed labor force. The red lines are the jobs over $100,000, where our share stays far below the line. The gold line is the parity line: the Latino share of everyone employed in America. We start in 1980, the first year reliable Latino-by-occupation data exists. In 2026 the line forks, and which way it bends is the one thing on this page we still get to decide.

Occupations with median pay under $100K a year Farmworkers ($35K) Construction laborers ($45K) Food service ($30K) The parity line Latino share of employed workers Occupations with median pay over $100K a year Engineering / STEM ($101K) Physicians ($230K) Attorneys ($146K) Chief executives ($207K) With Project 2045 Current path
1980
-parity line vs physicians

Sources (Latino share of each group, by year): Parity line - Latino share of employed workers, BLS Current Population Survey 2025, Table 11 (16.9% in 2017, 20.0% in 2025, rising 0.367 pts/yr). Farmworkers - U.S. DOL National Agricultural Workers Survey & Census crop-labor tables. Construction & Food service - U.S. BLS, Labor Force Characteristics by Race & Ethnicity (Current Population Survey), 1980–2024. Engineering / STEM - National Science Foundation, Diversity in STEM, & BLS. Physicians - AAMC Physician Workforce & Diversity data. Attorneys - American Bar Association, Profile of the Legal Profession. Chief executives - U.S. Census/BLS occupation tables & Heidrick & Struggles Fortune-500 CEO data. Median pay figures are BLS Occupational Employment & Wage Statistics (May 2023). 2030–2045 are projections, not measured data. The two futures are LIGAZON models: the current path extends the measured 2010–2024 trend; the Project 2045 path assumes the credential pipeline widens at the pace required to meet the deadline. 2045 is a deadline we set, not a forecast.

In 2017, the gap between the labor-force parity line and Latino physician share was 11.1 points. In 2025, that same gap is 13.3 points. The trendline since the 2023 SFFA decision suggests it widens further. The current pace is not closing this. Project 2045 is the path that bends it.

The Math · why it looks like progress

Representation went up. Parity went down. Both are true.

Here is the trap. Every year there are a few more Latino doctors than the year before, so it feels like we are slowly winning. We are not. The parity line, the Latino share of employed workers, is rising faster than the professions are opening, so even as the raw numbers rise, we fall further behind. Watch all three numbers at once.

Latino physicians
3.0%→6.7%
▲ more than doubled since 1980

This is the number people point to as progress. On its own, it is real progress.

The parity line
3.3%→20.0%
▲ rising 0.367 points per year

The Latino share of employed workers is the finish line, and it is moving faster than the runner.

The parity ratio
0.91→0.34
▼ further from parity than in 1980

Divide physicians by the parity line and the truth appears. We are a smaller fraction of parity now than a generation ago.

The parity ratio is the only honest scoreboard: share of the professionshare of employed workers A score of 1.0 means parity. In 1980 we were near parity. Today, despite more than doubling the doctors, we have slipped to roughly a third.
0.91→0.34
1980  →  2025  ·  lower is worse
11.1 → 13.3 pts
The gap between the parity line and our share of physicians has widened since 2017, the first year of the verified BLS series.
~130,000
Latino physicians the country is short of parity right now. Not a percentage. A number of human doctors who are not there.

Every gain we made was real. It simply was never fast enough. And in 2023, the math stopped improving at all.

The Fork · 2026 → 2045

Two futures. One decision left to make.

Same rising parity line, two paths for the professions. Organize to meet the deadline, or watch representation drift. The bars show the distance closing or widening, year by year, to 2045.

Labor-force parity line Professions, with Project 2045 Professions, if we do nothing
20.0%
6%
6%
2026today
23.7%
16%
8%
2035
27.3%
27%
9%
2045deadline
With Project 2045 → professions rise with the parity line, reaching the deadline we set.
Without it → the gap does not just persist. Post-SFFA, it widens. About 9% by 2045.

Parity line: Latino share of employed workers, BLS CPS Table 11, rising 0.367 pts/yr. Profession lines: aggregate Latino share of the highest-paid roles across medicine, law, corporate, tech, education & government. "Current path" extends the measured 2010–2024 trend; "Project 2045" models the pipeline + accountability closure path. 2045 is a deadline we set, not a forecast.

The Clock Stopped in 2023.

For the first time in twenty years, the rate is moving the wrong way.

0%
Decline in Latino MD matriculants, 2024 cycle

In June 2023, the Supreme Court ended race-conscious admissions. The first U.S. medical school class admitted after that decision had double-digit fewer Latino students. Law schools tracked the same direction. We are not approaching parity. We are moving away from it.

2026 · the pressure is escalating

It is no longer just the ruling. In 2026 the Department of Justice joined a lawsuit against UCLA’s medical school, moved against Yale, and opened investigations into Stanford, Ohio State, and UC San Diego over their admissions. The one slow lever that was widening the door is now being challenged in federal court, school by school.

24% → 20%
Share of admitted med students from underrepresented backgrounds, the year before the ruling versus the year after. A one-year drop.
~17%
Relative decline in that single cohort. Sustained for a decade of medical classes, that is a generation of doctors who never arrive.

The post-2023 decline, sharpened by 2026 litigation, makes the current path steeper. Each year a class is suppressed at today’s rate removes roughly 300 to 500 Latino physicians from the pipeline that should reach patients in the 2030s. That is the argument for moving now instead of later: the longer the gap widens, the more ground the 2045 deadline has to make up.

Sources: AAMC (2024) Matriculants by Race & Ethnicity · Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard, 600 U.S. 181 (2023) · U.S. DOJ Civil Rights Division actions, UCLA & Yale Schools of Medicine, 2026 · DOJ admissions inquiries, Stanford / Ohio State / UC San Diego, 2026 · JAMA Network Open (2026), affirmative-action repeal & medical-school diversity. 2045 is a deadline we set, not a forecast.
The Required Rate

How fast would medicine have to move?

Time to parity is undefined when the target itself moves. The answerable question is what rate of progress would have to hold. The observed physician gain is 0.150 points per year. The parity line rises 0.367 points per year.

Required annual gain in Latino physician share
GoalRequired rate (pts/yr)Multiple of observed rate
Stop the gap from widening0.3672.44x
Close the gap in 50 years0.6334.2x
Close the gap in 30 years0.8105.4x
Close the gap in 20 years1.0326.9x
The most cited remedy is to double the pipeline. Doubling the observed rate gives 0.300 points per year. Against a line rising 0.367, doubling does not even hold the gap steady.

Source: BLS Current Population Survey 2025, Table 11 (parity line); AAMC Physician Workforce data 2017-2025 (observed physician gain). 2045 is a deadline we set, not a forecast.

The Control Case

Nursing closes. Medicine does not.

Latino registered nurses gained 0.397 points per year from 2017 to 2025, against the same parity line. The gap is closing. The difference is not ability. It is structure.

Latino share of registered nurses, 2017-2025

6.9%'17
7.2%'18
7.2%'19
7.9%'20
8.8%'21
8.1%'22
8.9%'23
9.8%'24
10.0%'25
Nursing Permeable entry points and stackable credentials: CNA to LPN to RN to advanced practice, largely through community colleges. Skill acquisition is incremental, and a setback is survivable.
Medicine A single monolithic decade-long path with high-stakes gates at every stage. One failure or one financial shock ejects the candidate, often with non-dischargeable debt.

Source: BLS Current Population Survey 2025, Table 11 (Latino share of registered nurses). 2045 is a deadline we set, not a forecast.

The Gap, In One Picture

Twenty percent of the workforce. A fraction of its best-paid careers.

20.0% · labor-force parity
Attorneys ABA 2024
6.0%
Physicians AAMC 2024
6.7%
Engineers / STEM NSF 2024
9%
Elected officials NALEO 2024
1.1%
White household wealth$285K
Latino household wealth$62K
Median net worth. Roughly one dollar saved for every five. Federal Reserve SCF 2022
The Data

Twenty industries. Twenty data sources. One pattern, connected for everyone to see.

BLS, AAMC, ABA, NSF, LCDA, NCES, USDA, CFPB: federal data connected across 20 occupational sectors at once, so the whole picture sits in one place. The link between pay and Latino representation holds in nearly every field. Explore all 32 indicators in the Latino Power Atlas →

How to read this page Every number cites the named federal dataset or peer-reviewed publication beneath it. Where data is computed or projected, the chart labels it as such. If you find a number that is not sourced, write us and it gets corrected the same day.

U.S. Latino representation by occupation, against the 20.0% labor-force parity line.

Red = below parity · Green = above parity · The vertical gold line marks the Latino share of employed workers (BLS CPS 2025).

Farmworkers DOL NAWS 2022
78%
Construction BLS 2023
30%
Food Service BLS 2023
26%
Education (Teachers) NCES 2024
14%
Management BLS 2023
11%
STEM Occupations NSF NCSES 2024
9%
Physicians AAMC 2024
6.7%
Newsroom Journalists RTDNA 2023
6.1%
Lawyers ABA 2024
6.0%
Fortune 1000 Boards LCDA 2024
5.4%
S&P 500 CEOs 2024
8.4%
Farm Owners USDA 2022
3%

Wage and representation, one dot per occupation.

20% PARITY As pay rises, our share falls. 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% $20K $60K $100K $140K $200K+ MEDIAN ANNUAL WAGE LATINO REPRESENTATION Farmworkers Construction Food Svc Teachers Management STEM Physicians Lawyers CEOs

Each dot is one occupation, placed by its median wage and its Latino share. The line through them tells the whole story: as pay climbs, our presence falls. Every field above $80K sits below the 20% labor-force parity line. Sources: BLS OEW May 2024, BLS CPS 2025, AAMC 2024, ABA 2024, NSF NCSES 2024.

By State · pick a job, see who carries it

In every state, we already feed it, build it, and keep it running. The work that licenses and governs it is next.

Tap a job below. The bars re-sort to show the Latino share of that job in each state, against our share of the state's population (the line, shown for demographic context). Watch the farm bars tower over the doctor and lawyer bars, state after state.

How to read this: each bar is the Latino share of that one job in that state. The vertical line is the Latino share of the state's whole population, shown only as demographic context. Farm-work bars sit far past the line; physician and attorney bars fall far short of it. Same people, same states, opposite ends of the pay scale.

Sources: U.S. Census ACS 2023 (population & farm labor force) · AAMC State Physician Workforce Data 2023 · ABA Profile of the Legal Profession 2024 · DOL National Agricultural Workers Survey 2020–2022. State-level Latino shares rounded; farm-labor shares reflect the hired crop workforce.

Step 3 · Understand it

You have seen the gap. Now see how it was built.

Why it happens →